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Housing Affordability Index for Batics, Q2 2012

11-09-2012 10:41

The housing affordability index (HAI) increased to 164.5 in Tallinn, 109.8 in Vilnius, and 138.3 in Riga

  • During the second quarter of 2012, housing affordability strengthened the most in Tallinn: the housing affordability index (HAI) – which is calculated for a family whose income is equal to 1.5 of average net wages with an average-sized apartment of 55 square meters – increased from 155.3 in the first quarter this year to 164.5. Over the same period, the HAI in Vilnius and Riga increased less - from 104.9 to 109.8, and from 136.5 to 138.3, respectively. This means that in the second quarter household wages in Tallinn were 64.5% — and in Vilnius, 9.8%, and in Riga, 38.3% — higher than needed to afford an apartment, according to our norm of 30% of net wages for mortgage costs.
  • In Tallinn, the HAI increased mostly because of a 4.9% quarterly increase in net wages. Affordability was boosted significantly by a 30-basis-point decrease in interest rates as well. A larger increase in affordability was held back by rising apartment prices.
    In Riga, the main reason for the sluggish quarterly increase of housing affordability was quite rapid (5.0%) increase in apartment prices. However, it was outweighed by faster decrease in interest rates and wage growth.
  • In Vilnius, the affordability increase was fuelled mostly by a decrease in interest rates of 25 basis points on a quarterly basis. Increasing wages and decreasing apartment prices also lifted affordability, but to a smaller extent.
  • The time needed to save for a down payment decreased by approximately two weeks in Tallinn and Vilnius, to 24.8 and 36.5 months, respectively, but increased by the same amount to 27.3 months in Riga.
Housing Affordability Index for Baltics - September 11, 2012 from Swedbank

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